Everyone is saying the 8 is done but from my side it is still wide open and good value if you are either a Warriors or Manly backer.
Based on last week we are no certainty of winning next week or again this year for that fact.
Using 18 points as the benchmark
Tigers need to win 2 games however have toughest draw as all games are against top 6 sides who are fighting for a top 4 position, so wins will be hard.
Warriors play us, Raiders and Manly. They are capable of beating both us and Manly. The Raiders game is interesting as it is 2nd last game by which time the top 4 is done. Ricky may concede and rest players opting to give them a hit-out against us in last round before finals. In this scenario, the Warriors have a chance to finish on 20 pts.
Manly have all winnable games with Dogs, Titans and Warriors which will put them on 18pts equal with us. It would come down to F/A. We are +18 and they are -116 = 134 difference by 3 games is 45 per game. In short we would need to lose by 20+ per game and Manly need to win by 20+ per game. I can see us losing by 20+ per game but realistically cannot see them winning by 20+ per game yet a possibility.
