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Breaking News Statman previews NRL round 10

Breaking News Statman previews NRL round 10Fox Sports, AustraliaThe 1995 breakdown was: Mat Rogers (Cronulla) 4, Steve Renouf (Brisbane) 4, Ken Nagas (Canberra) 4, Peter Jorgensen (Sydney Roosters) 3, Rod Silva (Sydney Bulldogs) 3, and Noel Goldthorpe (St George) 3. What a memory! In a tough week for the code, ...

Source: http://www.foxsports.com.au/story/0,8659,25481801-23210,00.html

Statman previews NRL round 10
By Statman
May 14, 2009

Statman returns for the country's weekly dose of enlightenment with his unique way of looking at the important events in rugby league on the field.
This week there is: Newcastle's joy at home, and misery at Moore Park; Rangas on the rage in Orange; Slippery Morris's challenge to Brett and Josh; a wet and windy day in 1963; and, as usual, loads more.


While Statman was sitting at home enjoying one of Mrs Statman's famous roast dinners on Saturday night - TV tray on his knees so he wouldn't miss any of the action as North Queensland Cowboys played St George Illawarra live and exclusive on Fox Sports 2 - he got to wondering why there was an eerie sense of deja vu come across him. Then everything became clear, with Johnathan Thurston reminding him so much of Graeme Langlands. What was it? Can't have been the headgear, as Langlands didn't wear any. It wasn't the boots, as Thurston’s were red and Langlands only wore the white boots once anyway. And while Thurston is quick, he sure doesn't run like Langlands did. Then it hit home as Thurston scored his third try of the night, and his fifth in two days. Of course, it was on a windy, wet weekend back in 1963 that Langlands had produced the same heorics: after scoring two tries against South Africa, "Changa" backed up the next day to score three tries and eight goals for St George (minus Illawarra in those days) against North Sydney. Sure Thurston kicked one more goal, and his tries were worth four points not three, but the resemblance was amazing. Those great roast dinners really get the brain working, and stop Statman from losing his memory.


If Newcastle Knights keep winning at home, they may have to continue demolishing the grandstands around the ground to keep the streak going. Sunday’s somewhat controversial win over Gold Coast Titans was their eighth consecutive victory at the partially demolished "EAS", equaling their club record. And kicking out on the full obviously does not affect a team's chances of winning, judging by the Knights' effort, as they kicked out on the full four times - the most of any team in the past three seasons.


Let's be very clear: Statman isn't a betting man and backing odds-on favorites is not his go; but if you are desperate for a win this weekend, it is very difficult to go past Melbourne Storm against Canberra in the Monday Night Football game. Firstly, Melbourne have won their past 13 matches against Canberra, since 2002, and they have lost only one of 11 matches against the Raiders at Olympic Park. Since 2007, Melbourne have won 10 of their 12 Monday night matches
(including four from four at Olympic Park) while Canberra have won only two of their past six Monday night matches (both in Canberra). But wait. There's more. Canberra have lost their past three matches, and six of their past eight; they have won only one of their past six away matches; and they have won only seven of their 29 away matches since the start of 2007. For whatever reason, the "Green Machine" simply cannot get rolling against the Storm, winning only
five of their 23 games overall (22 per cent) - easily their worst winning percentage against all opponents. Not surprisingly, only two of Melbourne’s 17 named players this weekend have tasted defeat against Canberra - Brett Finch and Matt Cross - neither while playing for Melbourne. To top it all, Melbourne have not conceded 20 points this season while the Raiders have won just two of their past 26 games in which they have scored 20 points or less.


A lot of things have changed over the past 100 years, but, in some cases, everything stays the same. The first time Newcastle played Eastern Suburbs in the Moore Park suburb of Sydney saw the beginning of a not so wonderful tradition (for the visitors). Newcastle first played Eastern Suburbs at the Royal Agricultural Ground in 1908, tasting defeat to the tune of 34-17. For the winners that day, the great Dally Messenger scored two tries and kicked six goals for a personal tally of 18 points. Fast forward 100 years, or so, to look at the Knights' record against Sydney Rosters, and Moore Park continues to give no joy for the visitors. Since 2002, the Knights have won only three times against the Roosters - losing 10 - with the three wins achieved not in the Moore Park area, and not at home, but in Gosford. However, if form means anything it's tough to see anything but a big Knights win, which would reverse a five-game losing sequence against the Roosters at Sydney Football Stadium. During that streak, the Novocastrians have scored just 40 points while conceding 190 - or 38 points per game. For Roosters fans scratching their heads trying to remember the last time their side scored 38 points at home, Statman has the answer: When they defeated the Cowboys 64-30 in 2007.


Peter Wallace did his New South Wales State of Origin selection chances no harm with a dominant performance in the annual City v Country match, scoring 16 points (the individual record tally since the match became "Origin" in 1987) and leading his side to their biggest win in the Origin period. Wallace wasn't the only "Bluey" to put his Origin hand up, with Keith Galloway, Joel Monaghan, Shane Shackleton, Ben Creagh and Alan Tongue also having big games. This is no surprise really; Why did you think they played the game in Orange?


Statman can almost hear the words from Steve "Slippery" Morris to his boys, twin sons Brett and Josh: "Not too bad fellas, but you've got a long way to go to get near the old man." And Statman reckons that's a fair call. Patriarch Steve was a try-scoring favorite for the Dragons, between 1979 and 1986, and then with the Roosters, from 1987 to 1990, crossing for 121 tries in 247 matches - many featuring a spectacular burst of speed along the touchline. But his boys sure have started their careers in rousing fashion, and fans can look forward to a battle royale as their sides go against each other this weekend. Brett became only the ninth player in premiership history to score four tries in a losing side, when his Dragons team went down 24-20 against the Cowboys last Saturday night. He also became only the seventh player to score all of one team’s tries when the side scored four tries or more. Brett has already scored 27 tries in just 44 games. Across town at the Bulldogs, Josh Morris has scored 25 tries in just 52 games, and, like his brother, has both size and speed in his armory. Dad Steve, on the other hand, had to rely entirely on his speed.


Manly fans, excited by their team's surprising comeback win against Brisbane Broncos, will be hoping the resurrection continues all the way through to the semi-finals. But with just three wins and six losses in their opening nine matches, a semi-final position will see them equal their best comebacks after nine rounds - achieved in 1966 and 1998. And while that would be some achievement for the Sea Eagles in their 62nd year, it is fast becoming a regular occurrence for teams to come from nowhere to reach the finals series. In 2008, St George Illawarra made the semi-finals, eventually finishing seventh after starting the season with three wins and six losses. In 2007, Brisbane snuck into eighth spot after starting the season with a 3-6 win-loss record. And Parramatta, in 2006, also came eighth after starting the season with 2 wins and 7 losses. But the best comeback of all was Brisbane’s effort in 1999, when they started the season with one win, one draw and seven losses but still recovered to reach the finals.


With three hat-tricks in just four club matches last weekend, Statman thought "what a time to look at the most hat-tricks in a single round". After rummaging through the dusty, old filing cabinet, which started a sneezing attack, he soldiered on determined to find the answer. But he could not find the notes. Statman then thought "I don’t need my notes, I can recall that one off the top of my head". The answer was easy. In round 18, 1952, and round 22, 1995, there were six hat-tricks scored. In 1952, the breakdown was: Bob Lulham (Balmain) 4, Stan Ponchard (Balmain) 3, Peter O’Brien (North Sydney) 3, Bob Sulllivan (North Sydney) 3, Ken Macreadie (South Sydney) 3, and Bill Callinan (Western Suburbs) 3. The 1995 breakdown was: Mat Rogers (Cronulla) 4, Steve Renouf (Brisbane) 4, Ken Nagas (Canberra) 4, Peter Jorgensen (Sydney Roosters) 3, Rod Silva (Sydney Bulldogs) 3, and Noel Goldthorpe (St George) 3. What a memory!


In a tough week for the code, let's focus on the various match-ups of this week's Heritage Round - and the many old stories of past battles recalled. There may be standing room only at Sydney Cricket Ground when Wests Tigers and South Sydney do battle. Talk of the so-called "lay-down grand final" in 1969 grand final has surfaced. And the Tigers have aired their frustrations about the farcical 1909 final, in which Souths belatedly turned up to take the title after both sides had agreed not to play because the match was only a curtain-raiser. The Tigers have even gone to the trouble of flying their goal-kicking winger from the 1969 grand final-winning side, Len Killeen, out from South Africa. On a special day for players and spectators alike, Hazem El Masri plays game No.300 as the Bulldogs go against St George Illawarra, Gold Coast Titans halfback Scott Prince plays his 200th game in the fixture against Brisbane Broncos, North Queensland Cowboys prop Carl Webb plays his 150th game in the match against the Warriors, Bulldogs forward David Stagg plays his 100th game, and Warriors back Jerome Ropati plays his 100th in the match against the Cowboys.
 

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Super scorers for round 10

Super scorers for round 10Fox Sports, AustraliaBryson Goodwin has made the most linebreaks in the NRL this season with nine. He has also scored seven tries in his eight matches this season. Brett Morris has scored six tries in his last three matches, including four tries in last weeks match against ...

Source: http://www.foxsports.com.au/story/0,8659,25484004-5015862,00.html

Super scorers for round 10

May 14, 2009

Fox Sports Stats have once again come to the party with a nuts and bolts breakdown of the men most likely to cross the stripe and earn you points in round 10.
St George Illawarra v Bulldogs

Matt Cooper has scored nine tries in 14 games against the Bulldogs, including four tries in his last three games against them.

Bryson Goodwin has made the most linebreaks in the NRL this season with nine. He has also scored seven tries in his eight matches this season.

Brett Morris has scored six tries in his last three matches, including four tries in last weeks match against North Queensland.

Darius Boyd has made the most tackle busts in the NRL this season with 52.

Brisbane Broncos v Gold Coast Titans

Karmichael Hunt requires two tries to bring up his 50th career try, he has scored six tries in his last four games.

Sydney Roosters v Newcastle Knights

Kurt Gidley leads the NRL in average runs per game (19.8) and is second in average metres per game (168).

Shaun Kenny-Dowall (six tries this season, tied for fifth in the NRL) has scored three tries in his two career games against the Knights.

James McManus, Newcastle’s top try scorer this season (five tries) has only scored once in his four career games against the Roosters, and has no tries in his last three games against them.

Penrith v Cronulla

Michael Jennings has scored a try in each of his three games against the Sharks. He has also scored three tries in his last three matches.

Luke Covell has scored seven tries in three matches at CUA Stadium playing for Cronulla. He has scored two doubles and a hat-trick the last time he played at CUA Stadium in round 13, 2008

Paul Gallen has scored four tries in his last five matches against the Panthers, including two tries in his last two matches at CUA Stadium.

Warriors v North Queensland Cowboys

Jerome Ropati will play his 100th match, he has scored two tries in his last two matches against the Cowboys.

Manu Vatuvei requires one try to bring up 50 career tries. He has scored 12 tries in his last 12 matches and 11 tries in his last 11 matches at Mt Smart Stadium.

Lance Hohaia has scored five tries in his last five matches at Mt Smart Stadium.

Matt Bowen has scored six tries in his last six matches against the Warriors.

Ty Williams has scored five tries in his last five matches against the Warriors.

Manly v Parramatta

Jamie Lyon is the equal-leading try scorer this season with eight. He has scored three tries in four games against the Eels.

David Williams has scored nine tries in his past eight matches at Brookvale Oval.

Luke Burt has scored five tries in eight games against Manly.

Wests Tigers v South Sydney

Robbie Farah has scored six tries in five games against the Rabbitohs.

Chris Heighington has scored four tries in his last five matches against the Rabbitohs.

Nathan Merritt has scored 15 tries in his last 14 matches, however he has only scored two tries in eight matches against the Tigers.

Melbourne Storm v Canberra

Billy Slater has scored 50 career tries at Olympic Park, the most of any player.

Greg Inglis has scored five tries in his past five games against Canberra, including four (two doubles) in his last two against them at Olympic Park.

Justin Carney and Josh Dugan will be hoping their form in the Toyota Cup against Melbourne can transfer to first grade. Last season in their only match against the Storm, Carney scored four tries and Dugan two.
 

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Breaking News Statman looks at NRL round 11

Breaking News Statman looks at NRL round 11Fox Sports, AustraliaWhile this approach seems to be working for the Bulldogs, currently in first place on the ladder, the same cannot be said for the team with the second-highest percentage of imports (again excluding the Titans); maybe Cronulla should recruit should the ...

Source: http://www.foxsports.com.au/story/0,8659,25510802-23210,00.html

Statman looks at NRL round 11
Statman
May 20, 2009

Full of hard-hitting comment supported by the "best stats in the business", and with his strange way of looking at things coupled with his many years of real-life experiences, Statman previews round 11 of the NRL premiership.
Statman asks this week whether the Bulldogs are now buyers not breeders. He also gives the refs some hints. And there's loads more.


As the emails continue to flow in, users' feedback of Statman indicates he's hitting the right note: "The Statman is a genius", "The Statman is no genius", "It's the highlight of our week", "I love those balmy days back in the '60s", "His brain should be kept forever so when he croaks it, which can't be far off, it could then be examined and learnt from for future generations to benefit".

Hence, by popular demand, Statman will now write copy twice a week - his original post
receiving additional thoughts every Thursday.


With the Bulldogs headed for a much-improved year, Statman says they are a team that can be termed "bought not bred". Apart from Gold Coast Titans, who had to assemble a competitive team in a short space of time, the Dogs' players ranks include more imports than any other team. Of the 23 players they've used this season, only eight made their debut in the white and blue.

While this approach seems to be working for the Bulldogs, currently in first place on the ladder, the same cannot be said for the team with the second-highest percentage of imports (again excluding the Titans); maybe Cronulla should recruit the Bulldogs' recruitment manager.


Good to see the referees are already taking heed of Statman; after a scathing piece about the death of the sin bin - surprise, surprise - the 10-minute enforced rest all of a sudden is back in vogue.

After 67 premiership matches this season, prior to the Sydney Roosters-Melbourne Storm Monday Night fixture in round nine, there had been only five sin bins; that was just one in every 13.4 matches. But the nine matches since have seen seven sin bins - a much healthier one in every 1.3 games. That’s an impressive tenfold increase in a little over a week! Well done, Statman. Keep fighting the good fight.

Let's see the reaction from the referees when Statman concludes his 12-month Royal Commission (at the taxpayers' expense, of course) on scrums in rugby league.


Heritage Round was a resounding success, with great crowds, great games and - of course - plenty of controversy. A recording-breaking 154,198 fans went through the gates for the eight matches (19,275 per match), the highest figure in history for round 10 - both in total and on averages.

Statman, then much younger, can vividly remember sitting at home on a sunny Sunday afternoon in front of his Chrysler radio listening to Frank Hyde's call from a packed SCG in 1966, when the previous-best average figure for round 10 was set. That weekend, 91,055 spectators watched the five games, at an average of 18,211 game. And not one went home complaining about the video referee!

Apart from the video ref, little has changed in the 43 years from 1966, with the Eastern Suburbs match in 1966 and the Roosters fixture in 2009 drawing the smallest crowd in each instance.


The old adage that Aussies like nothing more than knocking down a winner seems to apply in the NRL this year. Fans love nothing more than seeing their team sitting atop the ladder in the Tuesday papers (or on foxsports.com.au, of course), but it seems that - in 2009, at least - the burden of leading the competition is proving all too much, no matter who is on top. Every team leading the competition heading into a round this year has lost their next game.

That can't be true, you say; keep reading, Statman says.

Assume Manly, as the reigning premiers, were first going into round one; they lost to the Bulldogs. South Sydney sat atop the table after their slaughter of the Roosters in round one, but they couldn't back up to beat Parramatta. The Warriors led after two rounds, but lost to Brisbane Broncos in round three. The Broncos assumed the competition lead, but they faltered against St George Illawarra in round four. Souths re-took the lead after round four, but, once again, they couldn’t consolidate their position, losing to the Bulldogs. This left the Dragons on top after five rounds, with Wendell Sailor claiming they had it all over round-six opponents Newcastle Knights. But they didn’t. The Knights won 24-18 at WIN Jubilee. The Titans took their chance to lead the comp, but they couldn’t beat Penrith at CUA Stadium, Brisbane took the lead for round seven only to lose to the Knights. The Bulldogs assumed the lead heading into round nine (when they had the bye), and they were still leading in round 10, when they "lost" to the Dragons.

Will the trend continue this week?

The Bulldogs are still first, but they face the resurgent Storm at Gosford.


With Anthony Tupou raising the hopes of a win for all Sharks fans last Saturday night, scoring a double in quick time, Statman thought the time was right to pull out of his bag of facts and figures the quickest doubles in recent times. Surprisingly, Tupou's brace was not the quickest.

Across the 2008 and 2009 seasons, Eels winger Krisnan Inu tops the list with two tries inside 135 seconds in round 12 of 2008. Penrith utility Jarrod Sammut is just one second behind, with a brace in 136 seconds in round seven of 2009. We then have Warriors winger Manu Vatuvei, in 142 seconds in round 25 of 2008; Manly fullback Brett Stewart, in 143 seconds in round five of 2009; South Sydney winger Nathan Merritt, in 146 seconds in round 23 of 2008; Roosters winger Shaun Kenny-Dowall, in 149 seconds in round 11 of 2008; Dragons backrower Ben Creagh, in 151 seconds of round 12 of 2008.

Tupou is next on the list, with his brace against the Panthers in 164 seconds in round 10 of 2009.
 

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Statman round 11 part 2

Statman round 11 part 2Fox Sports, Australia... the NRL; and Matt Bowen is looking for two tries to become the first player to score 50 tries at Dairy Farmers Stadium. In the highly unlikely area, Brisbane Broncos have not lost at Campbelltown since 1992; and last-placed Cronulla to break their ...

Source: http://www.foxsports.com.au/story/0,8659,25521612-23214,00.html

Statman round 11 part 2
Statman
May 22, 2009

The stats just keep flowing from Statman's old typewriter. In this bundle of gems, we have the Cronulla coach's words still ringing in the players' ears; North Queensland Cowboys have two teams not one; the old gypsy blood; Penrith can't tackle at home; Melbourne Storm have the Bulldogs bluffed; and much more.

Sometimes we witness amazing deeds produced in adversity. With the Cronulla club at its lowest point in its 42-year history, will the players rally to produce a win for the ages against their neighbours, St George Illawarra, on Saturday. The stats suggest they are a 50-50 chance. While they have lost their past eight matches, derby clashes between the sides could not have been any tighter. Cronulla have won 40 and St George Illawarra have won 40 (including matches before the joint venture), with three draws. In the 83 contests between the sides, Cronulla have scored 1440 points (250 tries), and St George 1437 (252 tries).


Staying with the Sharks, it’s hard to decide whether their players need 20 minutes to calm down after hearing what coach Ricky Stuart has said to them running out, or whether they might be scared of what he is about to say as they head for the sheds. In their past three matches, the Sharks have failed to score a point in the opening 20 minutes of each half, but they have scored 60 points in the final 20-minute periods of the halves.


Statman thinks the Cowboys don’t have one football team; instead, they have two. They can look back to their efforts against the Warriors as their best form of the season, producing a Johnathan Thurston-led demolition. But it is little wonder the Cowboys looked at their best when scoring points, as they have won five times this season when they have scored 20-plus points. And they have lost the five times they’ve failed to reach 20 points. But this isn’t just a 2009 trend. They have never been a team capable of grinding out a win. Since 2005, they have scored 20 or more points 62 times for 51 wins (82.3 per cent); when failing to reach their magic 20 points tally, their record is abysmal, winning only three times in 51 matches (5.9 per cent).


Nothing gets past Statman’s eagle eye as he delves into the weird world of stats trivia. The Cowboys' past four home matches have been decided by 14 points one week and then four points the following week; if this pattern continues against Newcastle Knights on Monday night, the match will be decided by 14 points. The last time the Cowboys played Newcastle, the winning margin was 14 points. And to top it all off, the average winning margin between these two sides in their past three matches is 14 points. Perhaps No.14 for first try scorer could be a good bet, also.


Brett Finch has always had a love-hate relationship with the fans of his teams, but he should be getting nothing but love from the Melbourne Storm folk this season. At the moment. Before Finch’s arrival, Melbourne averaged just 14.2 points per game, winning just three of six matches. In the four matches Finch has played for the Storm, Melbourne have averaged a much healthier 27.5 points per game in recording three wins and a draw. Good move by Parramatta to release Finch and strengthen the Storm's premiership aspirations.


Despite the Panthers' recent good from at CUA Stadium, they have been conceding a lot of points at home. In their five home games this season, they have conceded 26 points per game. They have conceded just 13.5 points per game in their four away matches. Come on ... TACKLE!


If Sydney Roosters are hoping Mick Kouparitsas is a good luck charm, they have not done their homework. He has lost his past 12 matches, and 18 of his past 19 matches. To make matters worse, he has lost his past four matches playing against Penrith. After seeing these stats, Panthers coach Matt Elliott would be hoping Kouparitsas makes his debut for the faltering Roosters outfit.


The Bulldogs players won’t be oozing too much confidence against the resurgent Storm outfit on the weekend. Their players' recent efforts against Melbourne read like a Cronulla balance sheet. Greg Eastwood has lost his past seven against the Storm, Michael Ennis his past six, Hazem El Masri his past five, and Luke Patten, Ben Hannant, Andrew Ryan and Chris Armit have all lost their past four matches against Melbourne. In this week's line-up, Bryson Goodwin is the only Bulldogs player to have a last-start win against the Storm, having beaten them in round two last year while playing for Cronulla.


With some mention of gypsy blood flowing through my veins, let’s look into the crystal ball and take a look at what should unfold on the weekend. Also what is possible. And finally what is highly unlikely.


In the near-certainty category, we should see Joel Monaghan playing his 100th match for Canberra; and North Queensland (unless the Knights match is postponed) play their 350th NRL match. In the possible category, Manu Vatuvei is just one try shy of 50 in the NRL; and Matt Bowen is looking for two tries to become the first player to score 50 tries at Dairy Farmers Stadium. In the highly unlikely area, Brisbane Broncos have not lost at Campbelltown since 1992; and last-placed Cronulla to break their ground record of 22,302 fans.
 

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Statman looks at NRL round 11

Statman looks at NRL round 12Fox Sports, AustraliaAfter round 11 this year, the Roosters are propping up the table, with the Sharks, after suffering their biggest ever defeat by Penrith. The club's "el supremo", Nick Politis, now, is being woken up in the middle of the night on overseas trips, ...

Source: http://www.foxsports.com.au/story/0,8659,25536379-23214,00.html

Statman reviews NRL round 11
By Statman
May 25, 2009

A week is a long time in rugby league, but a year looks like a lifetime for Sydney Roosters and the Bulldogs.

After round 11 last season, the Roosters were in first position on the ladder, with seven wins and three losses, having just thumped the Warriors 38-12 in Auckland. Roosters coach Brad Fittler, then, was hailed the club's saviour. After round 11 this year, the Roosters are propping up the table, with the Sharks, after suffering their biggest ever defeat by Penrith. The club's "el supremo", Nick Politis, now, is being woken up in the middle of the night on overseas trips, asked to defend the now embattled coach.

Across Sydney at Bulldogs HQ, after round 11 last year, the Berries were languishing in 13th position, having won just four matches; they eventually won only one more game all year. Then, players were leaving, and coach Steve Folkes was counting the days until he could leave the game, headed for the balmy climate of the Caribbean with the West Indies cricket team. After round 11 this year, the Bulldogs sit atop the premiership ladder, having toppled Melbourne Storm for the first time in six matches. Now, their off-season recruits have jelled quickly under new coach Kevin Moore, and the club is re-inventing itself off the paddock as the family club.

A couple of amazing long-range tries on the weekend - one from Penrith centre Michael Jennings against Sydney Roosters on Saturday, the another from Warriors Toyota Cup fullback Kevin Locke - got Statman thinking about the furthest he had seen one player run for a try.

It is difficult to top the three-pointer (yes, it was that long ago) that Paul Cross, the father of ex-Roosters and current Western Force Super 14 rugby player Ryan Cross, scored for Balmain Tigers in 1966, when he ran right along the dead-ball line before careering downfield for a memorable try.

Jarryd Hayne, in three matches since moving to fullback for the Eels, has produced herculean numbers that Statman hasn’t seen since - well, Statman doesn’t want to give his exact age away.

Hayne has scored five tries, made six line breaks, and made 42 tackle busts. He has also run 62 times for 650 metres (including a mammoth 32 runs and 327 metres in 90 minutes against South Sydney, the most metres by a player in three seasons). All while playing for the out-of-form Eels.

South Sydney, the innovators of so much in the game's 101 seasons - the first premiership winners; their run-not-kick policy; their development of the five-man forward packs in the 1920s; and their "People Power" march on Sydney Town Hall - have always prided themselves on tradition.

The Rabbitohs now seem to have taken it upon themselves to keep the honourable draw as a realistic option, even in the days of golden-point extra-time. Since 2003, when the extra period was introduced, the Bunnies have played in four of the seven drawn matches.

Everyone knows Statman loves digging through his archives; and nothing excites him more than stats that aren’t too obvious. Looking at the close results on the weekend, the stat that begged to be asked was: When was the last time a round of matches had a draw, a one-point, and a two-point margin?

And the answer is: round 16 last year; Penrith and Brisbane drew 12-12, South Sydney defeated North Queensland Cowboys 29-28 (the second-biggest league comeback of all time), and Wests Tigers suffered a two-point loss to the Warriors.

Not being satisfied with such an easy answer, Statman sharpened his pencil and got to counting how many times it had happened in history.

The answer is: 20; the first in round 5, 1925, when North Sydney and St George drew 13-13, Glebe defeated Easts 13-12, and Souths defeated Newtown 14-1.

Aah, memories ...
 

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Stat snapshot: Dragons' key to success

Stat snapshot: Dragons' key to successNRL.COM, AustraliaAt the other end of the scale it is again no massive revelation to see the struggling Sharks producing the most errors of any NRL side. Cronulla can't buy a win and the fact they constantly lose possession is the biggest reason why. ...

Source: http://www.nrl.com/NewsViews/LatestNews/NewsArticle/tabid/10874/newsId/55051/Stat-snapshot-Dragons-key-to-success/Default.aspx

Stat snapshot: Dragons' key to success
Benjamin Everill
26 May 2009 13:22:00

Rugby League can be broken down and separated into simple ‘constructs’ or elements – and it’s this approach that has helped St George Illawarra to the equal competition lead heading into the draining Origin period.

It takes plenty of work to put together a successful team. You need size, you need speed, and you need smarts. But it doesn’t matter how good your side is if you can’t do the simple things right – and the simplest thing in rugby league is to control the ball.

It is no surprise to see St George Illawarra on top of a fundamental statistic, that of fewest errors. The Dragons produce an average of just 9.4 errors a game to lead the NRL – a massive contributing factor to their success.

Plenty of pundits are quick to lambast their attack, claiming the side will fail to go all the way unless they up the ante. There may be some truth in this, but as long as they minimise errors and therefore dominate possession, they will remain in the hunt of any match.

The Dragons have only lost one error count all season, in their loss to North Queensland, but the fact several stars were backing up 24 hours after representative football was a contributing factor.

The ‘strangling’ approach to football has ensured several victories, including last weekend against the Sharks and in close encounters like those against the Bulldogs and Warriors in recent weeks.

Also impressive is the fact the side’s halves or playmakers aren’t the major error contributors, which is often the case as teams try to make things happen or force the issue. Instead it is veteran winger Wendell Sailor who has the unwanted tag of most errors in the Dragons side – although most wingers wouldn’t be too worried about just 10 errors so far this season.

It is also no surprise to see the Broncos are second in fewest average errors per match. Another of the sides at the equal top of the competition ladder, the Broncos are only making 10.8 errors a match.

At the other end of the scale it is again no massive revelation to see the struggling Sharks producing the most errors of any NRL side. Cronulla can’t buy a win and the fact they constantly lose possession is the biggest reason why. The side is averaging 14.6 errors a match, easily the most by any side in the competition.

The Warriors (12.8 a match) and the Eels (12.9) are the other poor performers in the statistic and as expected they occupy lower rungs on the NRL ladder.

“Too many errors can certainly be crucial,” Warriors coach Ivan Cleary tells NRL.com. “You do have to have a closer look in to how those errors are coming about as if you are making errors while promoting the football that isn’t as bad as basic errors.

“But unfortunately for us it has been those types of basic errors that have crawled into our game and it can make life really difficult.”

Cleary admits it is a basic problem which needs a basic solution – i.e. concentrating a little harder – but with more errors comes erosion in belief, making it harder to right the wrongs.

“When you are making basic errors it can really take a toll on the confidence, making it a bit of a snowball effect. They are really a bit contagious at times which makes it hard. But you can only work hard to rectify it and take each game as it comes.”

NRL Average Game Errors
1. Dragons (9.4); 2. Broncos (10.8); 3. Raiders (11.2); 4. Cowboys (11.8); 5. Tigers (11.9); 6. Titans (12); 7. Sea Eagles (12.1); 8. Roosters (12.4); 8. Bulldogs (12.4); 10. Knights (12.5); 11. Panthers (12.7); 11. Storm (12.7); 11. Rabbitohs (12.7); 14. Warriors (12.8); 15. Eels (12.9); 16. Sharks (14.6).

Your Club’s Most Error-Riddled
Brisbane: Peter Wallace (14); Raiders: Terry Campese (12); Dragons: Wendell Sailor (10); Cowboys: Matthew Bowen (17); Wests Tigers: Benji Marshall (14); Knights: Kurt Gidley (18); Bulldogs: Michael Ennis (16); Rabbitohs: Chris Sandow (16); Storm: Billy Slater (21); Panthers: Jarrod Sammut (15); Warriors: Joel Moon (15); Eels: Jarryd Hayne (20); Titans: Chris Walker (12); Sea Eagles: Matt Orford (16); Roosters: Mitchell Pearce (16); Sharks: Ben Pomeroy (16).
 

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The dawning of a new error

The dawning of a new errorFox Sports, AustraliaNo player in the NRL has been penalised more than Thurston, not surprising for a niggling halfback who likes to be heard. That's in addition to being among the league's worst tacklers with 48 revolving-door efforts so far in season 2009. ...

Source: http://www.foxsports.com.au/story/0,8659,25546184-5018979,00.html

The dawning of a new error
Fantasy Fanatic
May 27, 2009

This week your favourite Fanatic looks at the Fantasy points wasteland inhabited by all the plays that send your charges' stocks plummeting.

His recent rich vein of form has been hailed as the second coming of Johnathan Thurston, however on closer inspection JT is far from the messiah; in fact he's a very naughty boy.

No player in the NRL has been penalised more than Thurston, not surprising for a niggling halfback who likes to be heard.

That's in addition to being among the league's worst tacklers with 48 revolving-door efforts so far in season 2009. Throw in 10 ineffective tackles and nine errors and JT has been docked a total of 116 points for ill-disciplined play.

Obviously Thurston more than makes up for his indiscretions every time he holds onto the ball, but any lesser player giving away points at such an alarming rate would surely find themselves without a home in the cut-throat Fantasy landscape.

When it comes to laying down meekly and letting the opposition walk all over you, South Sydney's Chris Sandow is in a league of his own.

Sandow has already surrendered 83 Fantasy points thanks to a combination of ineffective tackles and, more often than not, letting the opposition just run by him altogether. In fact Sandow's shoulder-dropping phobia is set to land him in the record books for all the wrong reasons.

The most tackles missed by any one player in a single NRL season is 161, racked up by Brett Seymour in 2005. Currently averaging nine missed tackles a match, Sandow should have that one sewn up by round 18.

Only seven players have ever been soft enough to hit the single-season ton before and second on that list is Fantasy under-achiever Brett Kimmorley.

Kimmorley couldn't be bothered finishing off the job on the defensive end 145 times last year but in 2009 he's costing his Fantasy managers right across the park.

Not to be outdone by the younger, quicker, more agile No.7s, Noddy is keeping pace in the least desirable of Fantasy categories; his 13 penalties are second-only to Thurston while his 10 minutes spent in the naughty corner against the Dragons was the icing on the cake.

With 123 points down the gurgler, a well balanced lack of discipline has seen Kimmorley throw away more Fantasy returns than Reni Maitua has second-chances.

This could explain why yours truly highlighted the nuggetty scaredy cat as a player whose Fantasy takings just don't live up to his hype.

By now there are probably plenty of you out there screaming "Oi Fanatic, pick on someone your own size!" and true enough the little fellas have earned their share of criticism.

In fact while the generals wearing No.7 are the one's missing tackles it's the superstars in the three-quarters that are paying the price for their offensive showboating.

It should come as no surprise that Jarryd "50/50" Hayne has racked up more errors than any other player so far in 2009 with 19 attacking blunders to his name.

A genuine all-or-nothing playmaker and finisher, Hayne is keeping some impressive company. While he's tied for first place with Sharks scapegoat Ben Pomeroy, both Matt Bowen and Billy Slater sit behind them with 18 brain-explosions apiece.

Just because these players are capable of turning water into wine doesn’t mean everything they try comes off, though their Fantasy transfer numbers suggest that managers nation-wide are fairly forgiving of their indiscretions.

Now I can't let this misdemeanour exposé pass without highlighting the exploits of at least one badly behaved bookend.

At first inspection you could be excused for thinking the rough-and-tumble forwards trundling around the park are totally infallible.

Luckily Anthony "Slap, Crackle and Choc" Watmough has come to the rescue.

Deemed worthy of green and gold honours only a matter of weeks ago, selectors were somehow endeared to Watmough's Samaritan-like history of coming to the aid of opposition teams in need.

Choc has inexcusably missed as many tackles as Johnathan Thurston this season while proving just as likable with the men in the middle, conceding 13 penalties to be on par with JT and Noddy.

Add in 20 ineffective tackles and 14 errors and it's no wonder Craig Bellamy said "ummmm … how about NO" when Watmough's name was brought up at the Blues selection table last week.

May your selections be bold, your rewards plentiful, and watch all your NRL fantasies come true.
 

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When second phase is first class

When second phase is first classFox Sports, AustraliaToops is the game's top offloader with 30 second chances afforded to his hovering teammates, though the until-recently-inept Cronulla attack has failed to do him justice with zero of those converted into linebreak or try assists. ...

Source: http://www.foxsports.com.au/story/0,8659,25615556-5018979,00.html

When second phase is first class
Fantasy Fanatic
June 10, 2009

Fantasy Fanatic is a strong believer that when opportunity knocks you should let it in, and when Anthony Tupou creates opportunities you should get the hell out of the way.

Nothing makes defensive teams cringe more than thought of second-phase play, committing defenders to the man in numbers only to see the ball shift to a depleted open side.

Any man capable of doing just that not only knocks on the door but earns their manager Fantasy gold.

This week the Fanatic salutes the backstage men, the supporting cast to the leading men and the providers of opportunity.

Sharks Renaissance man Tupou (8.9) almost warrants expulsion from this exclusive band of brothers with his season-best showing against the Warriors, highlighting the former Test forward's ability to convert opportunities as well as he can create them.

Toops is the game's top offloader with 30 second chances afforded to his hovering teammates, though the until-recently-inept Cronulla attack has failed to do him justice with zero of those converted into linebreak or try assists.

That could explain why the playmaking backrower has taken matters into his own hands. Tupou leads all forwards with six tries and is tied for third among the big men with eight linebreaks - a nice way to round out his Fantasy portfolio.

It should come as no surprise that the offload charts are completely dominated by the movers and shakers at the rear of the scrum and the perfectionists of the old hit and spin.

Bronson Harrison (6.5) has so often taken up residency inside Fantasy Fanatic's pages I hear he is considering offering yours truly a percentage of his PR outlay. But really Bronson you've earned every accolade.

Monsta has gifted the Raiders attack a second roll of the dice on 36 occasions putting him only a shade behind Tupou, while the fruits of his labour have yielded three try assists and four linebreak assists, meaning points for the Green Machine and Fantasy merchants alike.

Now here is one to list under "thanks for nothing Fanatic".

Feleti Mateo (9.0) has averaged more offloads per game than any other Fantasy prospect in 2009, easy to miss with the Eels overcoming his greatness to turn in consistently underwhelming performances.

Like Harrison, Mateo's supporting cast (as impotent as they have been this campaign) have taken advantage of three try assists and an even more impressive seven linebreak assists.

Granted this information will be of little use given Mateo is expected to sit the next couple of months on the wrong side of the chalk but hey credit where credit is due says this Fanatic.

Never one to let the forwards get all the credit, it is still an unknown halfback taking all the honours in the assist categories.

Some Johnny-come-lately called Thurston is scaling the Fantasy heights, providing attacking opportunities for his rag-tag bunch of support players somewhere north of the border.

I kid, I kid!

There is no denying the return to attacking nirvana from Townsville's finest and the work Johnathan Thurston (11.3) is doing for his lightening-quick ensemble cast is part of the reason why he is the poster boy for Fantasy NRL in 2009.

Thurston is top dog when it comes to the assist categories with 15 apiece of the try and linebreak variety.

And just to show those cocky backrowers his skills don't stop when he hits the line he's got 11 offloads to his name as well.

But let's allow the oft-maligned ramrods of the rugby league fraternity their time in the sun, because without them second-phase play and sneaky Fantasy point-scoring would be sorely lacking.

May your selections be bold, your rewards plentiful, and watch all your NRL fantasies come true.
 

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Lone Scout: Dream Team late mail

Lone Scout: Dream Team late mailNRL.COMAnthony Tupou has been named for the Sharks but is also in doubt. I'd steer away from playing him. Greg Inglis, Dallas Johnson, Ryan Hoffman, Steve Turner, ...

Source: http://news.google.com/news/url?fd=R&sa=T&url=http://www.nrl.com/newsviews/latestnews/newsarticle/tabid/10874/newsid/56095/lone-scout-dream-team-late-mail/default.aspx&usg=AFQjCNGgU0u9sZezB7m2kslL8LTOWRufsA

Lone Scout: Dream Team late mail

Fri, 31 Jul 2009 15:38:00

Ladies and gentlemen... welcome to trade day!

The Glory Bound Rounds are in full swing and with the Dream Team finals just two weeks away... it's time to unleash the big guns.

Dropping a game here could be disastrous... so let's get stuck right into the latest casualty ward updates to ensure last week's nightmare injury curse doesn't strike again.

Trent Barrett: Got a face like a dropped pie after a nasty collision with Brett White.
Due back: 2010
Verdict: This is why you save trades, people!
Suggested replacement: Tim Moltzen (Tigers - $143,100).
If you don't have the cash to upgrade, Moltzen is an 80 minute halfback and he's super cheap. Also scored 52 last week.

Anthony Laffranchi: Suspended.
Due back: Round 22
Verdict: Stick with him.
Suggested replacement: Nathan Smith (Panthers - $267,000).
Another cog in this no-frills Penrith machine. Not a super-star, but scores consistently and is cheaper than Laffranchi.

Adam Blair: Suspended.
Due back: Round 22
Verdict: He's been very quiet of late and the trend could continue with Melbourne's big guns back.
Suggested replacement: Dave Taylor (Broncos - $176,700).
In great form. Handy little trade for a strong bench forward.

Marc Herbert: Busted hand.
Due back: Round 24
Verdict: If he's your starting halfback... trade him now.
Suggested replacement: Josh McCrone (Raiders - $96,200).
Straight swop between these two. While Herbert is out, McCrone will be in so you can't lose.

Steve Price: Ribs
Due back: Hopefully Round 22
Verdict: Tough one. If you have trades, go for it.
Suggested replacement: Roy Asotasi (Rabbitohs - $229,000).
Cheaper option who has been finding some hot form of late.

Kieran Foran: Replaced by Steve Matai.
Due back: Ask Des.
Verdict: He's made you a stack of money. Either trade him out... or wait for Steve Matai to get injured again.
Suggested replacement: Tim Moltzen (Tigers - $143,100).
Value and point scoring have sky-rocketed after being shifted into halfback.

Other big players still on the sideline
Matt Cooper, Jeremy Smith, Ashley Harrison, Matt Rogers, Chris Walker, David Milne, Justin Carney, David Shillington, Scott Logan, Tom Learoyd-Lahrs, Nick Kenny, Israel Folau, Peter Wallace and Sam Thaiday.

Players in doubt
Frank Pritchard is a 50/50 proposition. Play him at your own risk.
Ben Hunt was named to start in the No.7 for the Broncos but Karmichael Hunt will play at halfback, meaning Ben Hunt is unlikely to play.
Anthony Tupou has been named for the Sharks but is also in doubt. I'd steer away from playing him.

Now for the good news!

Players back in action this week
Greg Inglis, Dallas Johnson, Ryan Hoffman, Steve Turner, Darren Lockyer, Karmichael Hunt, Tonie Carroll, Paul Gallen (wasn't named but could be a late inclusion), David Stagg, Michael Crocker, Steve Matai, Kurt Gidley, Jarrod Mullen.

So who should wear the 'C' this week?
1. Jamie Soward
2. Robbie Farah
3. Nathan Hindmarsh
4. David Stagg
5. Cameron Smith

Now for the Q&A...

Aaron writes:
At the moment I have $125,500 in the bank with two trades left. Deans Young's performance at the moment is terrible for my team - I don't know who to get for him if I traded him. I thought it had to be between Cam Smith or Ben Hannant. Happy to get either. Hannant is more expensive but capable of more points. Who do you think?

I'm not quite sure I agree that Hannant can outscore Smith. Sure, Smith has been relatively quiet but I think that could all change against the Dragons with the likes of Inglis and Hoffman running off him again. Don't forget, two weeks back he scored a 69.

You have to remember that Smith scores plenty of points via goal-kicking and try-assists... so when the Storm are hot, so is Smith.

As for Hannant, he's a workhorse and when he gets back to peak fitness... he'll be a solid 50+ player again.

Flip of a coin, mate! But be aware both will most likely drop in value after this week (due to previous scores). Then again, so will Young!

Empty writes:
I am currently sitting first in my comp with $200k in the bank and 2 trades left. I am looking to upgrade one of 3 positions. I can either upgrade a reserve front rower like Lewis Brown (bad pick up) for Robbie Farah, Anthony Tupou for Hindmarsh, or I can get on the bandwagon and go for Soward as a replacement for one of Porter or Mortimer.

Am I correct in assuming that with Barrett out for the remainder of the year that Porter will be assuming more of the kicking duties? This would influence the trade more towards taking the Farah deal.

What are your thoughts?

Nice analysis with Porter, Empty. He certainly will pick up Barrett's slack in the kick-metre department.

With just two trades left, I'd suggest you make your decision mathematically. How many points do you think Porter will average for the rest of the season (remember, his best scores came when the Sharks were winning). Now calculate how many points Soward will average for the rest of the season (approx. 60 per game).

What's the difference? My estimation would be about 15-20 points per game difference.

Now do the same with Brown for Farah. And the same again with Tupou for Hindmarsh. I won't do the sums for you... but that should put you on the right track!

GXIII writes:
Moltzen got 52 last week. Will he continue this form? Matt Keating looks to be on the decline. Dallas Johnson and Cam Smith - What is going on with these guys?

Will Tupou start posting 40's again?

I look forward to your words of wisdom.

I wish I had some, GXIII! I don't think Moltzen will go 50+ again, but I do think he'll average 30+ for the rest of the season. Not a bad option for a bench half.

Dallas Johnson has been battling injury since Origin. His value is very low so it's probably not the best time to offload him. I'd expect him, along with Smith, to crank up the averages over the next few rounds.

Tupou? He's really starting to annoy me, to be honest! I tipped him in a previous column as a good value buy... and since then he's strained a hammy and can't seem to recover from it. Word is he'll miss this week too.

Is he worth keeping? Possibly not. He scores points via offloads, metres gained and line breaks. He is not a tackling workhorse... so if the Sharks revert to their old ways, he may struggle scoring 40 consistantly.

Willkie writes:
I'm really not sure if I should trade my five-eighth Terry Campese whose been out of touch since Origin really. I have Kieran Foran but I don't think he is the right option because he could get replaced by Chris Bailey any minute and also he doesn't play the full 80 minutes.

Foran hasn't been named this week, with Matai back in the centres and Lyon at five-eighth. He's a young Toyota Cup player who's excelled at the top level, but I don't see him getting too much more game time while Manly is at full strength.

Don't rely on him in the halves.

Click here to email me your Dream Team dilemmas.

Apologies to all the emailers who I simply couldn't get to in today's column. And a big thank you to everyone who sent in their suggestions to improve NRL Dream Team in 2010. We've taken them on board and will get back to you with our findings!

Scouts honour,
Lone Scout
 

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New Fantasy Competition

I noticed that Zakspiders had set up a fantasy league competition on Nrlfantasy.com and i tried to sign up and join but it was full.

So i decided to set up a second one for Sharks forever.

If you wish to join this one sign up and put this code in when it asks you too :)

http://nrlfantasy.dailytelegraph.com.au/

720183


:)
 

Sharkiiies

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im already in one coming 4th ;) can i join urs n still be in same one ?
 

Pomeroy#3

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Im in, ZinZan Brookes.... So when can I actually select players to my squad?
 

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Lone Scout: The Late Mail

NRLLone Scout: The Late MailNRLSharks: Reece Williams wasn't named and certainly won't be playing after doctors discovered a blood clot on his brain. If you have him, could be time to ...and more »

Source: http://news.google.com/news/url?fd=R&sa=T&url=http://www.nrl.com/newsviews/latestnews/newsarticle/tabid/10874/newsid/56182/lone-scout-the-late-mail/default.aspx&usg=AFQjCNFeWYg-KHLpk3Q5vu3X3fpYxN6kBg

Lone Scout: The Late Mail
Bigpond Sport and NRL.com
07 Aug 2009 16:00:00

Soward. Out.

The two words every Dream Teamer has been dreading all season.

The good news? It's precautionary.

The rumour mill has been in over-drive all week... but here's the deal. Jamie Soward is suffering from a shin injury he carried through last week's match... and despite being named, he'll be rested by Wayne Bennett to ensure he's tip top for Round 23.

The verdict? Don't you even think about touching that 'Trade' button, people!

Now on with the rest of this week's 'Late Mail'. With so many players in doubt, I've broken it down game-by-game.

Panthers v Dragons

Panthers: The Penny Panthers will welcome back Luke Lewis and big Frank Pritchard this week. Lewis will need to pass a late fitness test, but the team should be as named.

Dragons: Soward is expected to drop out of the seventeen, with either Nathan Fien or Dean Young to replace him in the halves. Meanwhile, Jeremy Smith will make his long-awaited return, with Jon Green the man to fall off the extended bench. PS. Welcome back Matt Cooper!

Storm v Cowboys

Storm: Ryan Hoffman was in some doubt with a persistent hamstring injury but is expected to play. Of course, Sika Manu is out of action after that horrific broken leg last week.

Cowboys: Rookie winger Donald Malone has been called into the North Queensland squad to make his debut against Melbourne after Michael Bani pulled out with back problems.

Sea Eagles v Rabbitohs

Sea Eagles: Manly should be as named.

Rabbitohs: Winger Jamie Simpson is battling with a hip injury. No word on a possible replacement.

Bulldogs v Raiders

Bulldogs: David Stagg (thank God!) is back from his little visit to Disneyland. The rest of the Dogs' line-up should be as per program.

Raiders: Forget the rumours about Tom Learoyd-Lahrs making a shock return. They'll run out as named.

Roosters v Tigers

Roosters: No changes here. Anthony Minichiello has been named at five-eighth... could be some value here if you have in him your squad. Expect an improved performance.

Tigers: Chris Lawrence is in doubt with a quad strain. The Tigers seem pretty certain he'll play... I'd still be wary. If you have other options, consider using them.

Warriors v Titans

Warriors: Yet again, no Steve Price. If you haven't traded him yet, now might be a good time. Just a reminder that Wade McKinnon has been dropped for the game after turning up late to training. I wonder if, using that criteria, the whole Warriors squad should be dropped? They haven't turned up all season. Other than that, these guys should be as named.

Titans: Chris Walker was named on the Titans bench, but he's yet to prove his fitness. If he's fit, he'll play. Can't help you any more than that, sorry! Keep in mind that Mat Rogers is back in action this week. 100% certainty.

Eels v Knights

Eels: Rumours circulating about the possible return of Feleti Mateo and Kris Keating. Don't bank on it. Don't pick them in your squad.

Knights: Should be as per named.

Broncos v Cronulla

Broncos: Brisbane’s bid to reverse a dramatic form slump has been boosted by the likely return of Peter Wallace, Sam Thaiday and Nick Kenny from injury... expect all three to play.

Centre Steve Michaels has been dropped for the match, meaning Mr-Fix-It Alex Glenn gets a shot in the centres.

Sharks: Reece Williams wasn't named and certainly won't be playing after doctors discovered a blood clot on his brain. If you have him, could be time to trade the poor bloke. I wouldn't be expecting a shock return with that type of injury.

Meanwhile, the Anthony Tupou saga continues. His bung hammy was given a fitness test during the week, but word on the street is... it flunked. Hamstrings are dodgy things. At this point in the season... I'd be trading. Now.

So who should wear the 'C' this week?

Not Jamie Soward, for one! Cam Smith enjoyed a hearty return to form against the Dragons last week... expect that trend to continue at Olympic Park on Friday night.

David Stagg? Had a rough trot with injuries lately... and against the Raiders, the game is more likely to become expansive - therefore less of the dirty work.

The Tigers need Robbie Farah to have a big one against the Roosters to keep their finals hopes alive. I'm tipping he'll produce it.

And what about Terry Campese? The Raiders aren't playing the Broncos this week. They're playing the Dogs. He'll have to work for every point.

On that basis, I'll be handing my captaincy to:

1. Cam Smith
2. Robbie Farah
3. Nathan Hindmarsh
4. Trent Waterhouse
5. Anthony Watmough

Don't forget, this is your last chance to tweak your team before the finals begin next week. I'll be back on Tuesday to discuss finals strategies.

In the meantime, click here to email me your dilemmas and I'll do my darndest to find a solution in my next column.

Scouts honour,
Lone Scout
 

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Fantasy Leagues

Lone Scout: The Late MailNRL.COMBroncos: Peter Wallace and Nick Kenny are in doubt after both came back from injury in last Monday's win over Cronulla. Panthers: Will be as named, ...

Source: http://news.google.com/news/url?fd=R&sa=T&url=http://www.nrl.com/newsviews/latestnews/newsarticle/tabid/10874/newsid/56275/lone-scout-the-late-mail/default.aspx&usg=AFQjCNHsoCh7_xYfJ4YriqRpx1BBPy_hwg

Lone Scout: The Late Mail
14-Aug-2009

Lone Scout for Bigpond Sport and NRL.com Fri, 14 Aug 2009 16:16:00
Welcome to the big time, Dream Teamers. Just think, it was only a matter of months ago that you innocently logged on to NRL.com and casually entered a Dream Team for a shot at a new Toyota.

Now - 22 lockouts, countless calculations and not-enough-trades later - you're hanging on every team announcement, getting RSI in your mouse-finger because you can't refresh the live scores quick enough… and performing university-level maths equations in a futile attempt to uncover that extra $30,000 you need to draft in Cameron Smith.

I feel your pain, people. I feel your pain. But now isn't the time to take the foot off the pedal. The finals are upon us! It's time to put your best foot forward and turn up to play.

Whether you're flying under the radar or you've got a target on your back, it's all about getting the preparation right and giving 110% on the day.

You've got to take it one game at a time. If you have to go back to basics, do it. Give full credit to the opposition and the result will take care of itself.

Remember, if you get the go-forward up front, the halves will have room to work their magic. Make sure your team is switched on, ready to play the full 80 and wins the arm-wrestle through the middle.

Now the customary cliché’s are out of the way... let's get stuck into the late mail!

Rabbitohs v Titans

Rabbitohs: The big loss, of course, is Roy Asotasi. He's gone for the season so if you have him, trade him now. For all those impressed by Chris McQueen's debut performance against the Sea Eagles - don't get too excited. Jamie Simpson is back this week.

Titans: Aaron Cannings drops out of the team through injury, but the Titans should run out as named.

Bulldogs v Cowboys

Bulldogs: Ben Hannant is the big loss this week, and he's a popular Dream Team selection. He could be back as soon as Round 25 but I wouldn't count on it. Time to look elsewhere.

Luke Patten was named in the No.1 but won't play. Word on the street is that Hazem El Masri will shuffle to fullback, with Darryl Millard called into the three-quarter line.

Roosters v Manly

Roosters: No real injury concerns here with Fittler's mob expected to run out as named.

Manly: Des Halser has finally axed the world's biggest winger, Tony Williams. On form, the massive unit should have been dropped weeks ago... we can only assume it's taken Dessy this long to build up the courage to tap him on the shoulder.

This, of course, is great news for the hordes of Dream Teamers who drafted in Kieran Foran after his stunning debut several weeks ago. If you have him in your squad, I'd suggest playing him as one of your reserves.

Meanwhile, Jamie Lyon's shuffle to centre and Ben Farrar's move to the wing will negatively impact on their scores this week. Keep that in mind.

Raiders v Dragons

Raiders: Centre Joel Monaghan is very unlikely to play. If you have him, seriously consider benching him.

Dragons: Beau Scott is suspended for this match, while Matt Cooper is in some doubt. Drop Scott for the week, take the gamble with Cooper.

Eels v Warriors

Eels: Nathan Cayless is the big omission here, and he's likely to miss one more week after this. If you have trades remaining, you have to free up that cash. Meanwhile, the rumour-mill is once again suggesting Feleti Mateo, Weller Hauraki and Kris Keating are all in the frame for an NRL return... but it's unlikely Daniel Anderson will be making a raft of changes to his starting 13 with the Eels in season-best form.

Warriors: Should be as per program, with Wade McKinnon back in action after getting his watch repaired.

Sharks v Tigers

Sharks: Winger Bronx Goodwin is gone for the season, with young Nathan Stapleton to slot in this week. Hooker Terence Seu Seu is also out. Yet again, there are whispers around the Shire that Anthony Tupou could return from a hamstring injury. I've been burnt by Tupou too many times to believe them. If you haven't already axed him, feel free.

Tigers: Centre Chris Lawrence is struggling and could be a late withdrawal. If you have a handy replacement centre, consider using him. As for Tim Moltzen, he's back in the No.1 this week after fullback Shannon Gallant was ruled out with a broken leg. This is bad news in Dream Team terms. If you have another option in the halves, play him. Moltzen may struggle to crack 20.

Broncos v Panthers

Broncos: Peter Wallace and Nick Kenny are in doubt after both came back from injury in last Monday’s win over Cronulla.

Panthers: Will be as named, with Adam Woolnough the man to drop off the extended bench.

Knights v Storm

Knights: Workhorse Steve Simpson in doubt with concussion but should play, considering the importance of the match. Prop Danny Wicks is battling a sternum injury, with Cory Paterson on standby.

Storm: To state the obvious... it might be an idea to punt Greg Inglis. Jeff Lima is also out this week. Other than those changes, the team should run out as named.

Good luck and good scouting. Remember... you can click here to email me your questions for next week's column.

Until then...

Scouts honour,
Lone Scout
 
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