Will we still make the finals?!?

mjef3966

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I would take a 13+ Sharks this weekend heck go 19+ we are due for one anyway... if we don’t bounce back strong from last week then i would say why bother make the 8
 

gando2230

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Did the ladder predictor on the NRL site just then and this is how my top 8 turned out..

1. Storm 40
2. Dogs 38
3. Manly 34
4. Sharks 33


5. Cowboys 32
6. Broncos 32
7. Rabbits 32
8. Wests 30

Rep me when it turns out like that guys :cheers

I would be happy with that 4th Home Semi???
 

Mr Wright

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finishing 4th in the new system means we play 1st week one. Meaning we would play melbourne in melbourne. tough ask but even if we lose we play again next week.
 

mjef3966

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Did the ladder predictor on the NRL site just then and this is how my top 8 turned out..

1. Storm 40
2. Dogs 38
3. Manly 34
4. Sharks 33
5. Cowboys 32
6. Broncos 32
7. Rabbits 32
8. Wests 30

Rep me when it turns out like that guys :cheers

you can have my left nut if that happens.
 

Mark^Bastard

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finishing 4th in the new system means we play 1st week one. Meaning we would play melbourne in melbourne. tough ask but even if we lose we play again next week.

I think we'd play better if we didn't make the 4.

Knowing every game is a knock out. If we finish top 4 and lose the first week, it'll probably sting our confidence too much. If we win we'll get the week off and I reckon that'll be bad for us.

Coming in position 5-8 and getting a weak opponent the first week is the best case scenario I reckon.
 

HaroldBishop

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I understand your logic MB but I'd take the second chance every time. Look at a team like Manly, not playing the best footy at the moment but will likely hit form if they can get their full team on the park. Facing an in form Manly in the first week of the semis isn't very appealing, or finishing 7th or 8th and possibly playing one of the QLD teams up there.
 

Wilson

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I got;

1. Melbourne Storm
2. Canterbury Bulldogs
3. South Sydney Rabbitohs
4. Manly Gaylord's
5. Cronulla Sharks
6. North Queensland Cowboys
7. Brisbane Broncos
8. New Zealand Warriors
 

Mr Wright

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I got;

1. Melbourne Storm
2. Canterbury Bulldogs
3. South Sydney Rabbitohs
4. Manly Gaylord's
5. Cronulla Sharks
6. North Queensland Cowboys
7. Brisbane Broncos
8. New Zealand Warriors

You think the wabbits will win a heap of games without gringles?
 

Wilson

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Yeah, Merritt is no mug back there. He was so good at the back end of last year Souths fans were calling him the messiah. Inglis will only be gone for like 2 or 3 matches I reckon.
 

Mark^Bastard

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I understand your logic MB but I'd take the second chance every time. Look at a team like Manly, not playing the best footy at the moment but will likely hit form if they can get their full team on the park. Facing an in form Manly in the first week of the semis isn't very appealing, or finishing 7th or 8th and possibly playing one of the QLD teams up there.

Yeah fair enough. I guess there's a chance that if you finish 5th to 8th you end up playing the eventual premiers and get a narrow loss, but you could make the top 4 and play a bludger of a team in the first week, and even in the third week too.

I think making a GF you can always hope for wanting it more securing a result, but not so much in other finals.

But if the top 8 reflected the form and skill of each team, with 1 being best and 8th being worst, I reckon finishing 5th is the best outcome.

You play 8th, who are the worst team, and should beat them comfortable. You then play a team coming off a loss which I reckon can be good in finals, you then play a team that's had a week off and hopefully have lost momentum because of that. Three games you've gone into with IMO an advantage.
 

Mr Wright

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Yeah fair enough. I guess there's a chance that if you finish 5th to 8th you end up playing the eventual premiers and get a narrow loss, but you could make the top 4 and play a bludger of a team in the first week, and even in the third week too.

I think making a GF you can always hope for wanting it more securing a result, but not so much in other finals.

But if the top 8 reflected the form and skill of each team, with 1 being best and 8th being worst, I reckon finishing 5th is the best outcome.

You play 8th, who are the worst team, and should beat them comfortable. You then play a team coming off a loss which I reckon can be good in finals, you then play a team that's had a week off and hopefully have lost momentum because of that. Three games you've gone into with IMO an advantage.

Coming 5th is great if your side has confidence and a good run of form to end the season. It can be mighty embarrasing to lose to 8th and be thrown out in week 1. Tigers/Warriors will most likely be the 8th seed two teams we have struggled with in the past.
 

Gards

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I have no confidence in this team after Sunday's display. It really has rattle my belief that we can do anything other than scrape into the finals
 

HaroldBishop

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Yeah fair enough. I guess there's a chance that if you finish 5th to 8th you end up playing the eventual premiers and get a narrow loss, but you could make the top 4 and play a bludger of a team in the first week, and even in the third week too.

I think making a GF you can always hope for wanting it more securing a result, but not so much in other finals.

But if the top 8 reflected the form and skill of each team, with 1 being best and 8th being worst, I reckon finishing 5th is the best outcome.

You play 8th, who are the worst team, and should beat them comfortable. You then play a team coming off a loss which I reckon can be good in finals, you then play a team that's had a week off and hopefully have lost momentum because of that. Three games you've gone into with IMO an advantage.

Agree. A lot of hypotheticals in either scenario. Either way I can't see us making the top 4 this year, hopefully a discussion to be having this time next year.
 

Mark^Bastard

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Coming 5th is great if your side has confidence and a good run of form to end the season. It can be mighty embarrasing to lose to 8th and be thrown out in week 1. Tigers/Warriors will most likely be the 8th seed two teams we have struggled with in the past.

Yeah that's a point too, I am only talking about the best place to finish in order to win a GF though.

If it's just to have a good season, obviously the higher the finish the better.
 

hitman124

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An AFL team has never won the comp finishing outside the top 4 in this system, the only team that looked like doing it was Adelaide in 09, who were the hot form team but lost the semi by a point.

You really need to finish in the 4. 4th position would be great if we could play Storm in Melbourne, that isn't an insurmountable task.
 
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