Officially Unofficial Burgo's Fancy Stats

burgess1978

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As many of you know, I've been tracking the attacking (metres) and defensive output of Sharks forwards, and then creating a model for comparing their performance week to week and across the season.

Rather than keep adding input to various threads, I'll post interesting stuff here each week - including output from each game, an a running total.
 

burgess1978

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Round 3 v Dragons

*McInnes split time between middle and edge.

1648165055404.png
 
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burgess1978

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Running total after 3 rounds - Involvement versus minutes played (all forwards).

1648165113855.png
 
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bort

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Worth noting 36/51 mins for McInnes were at edge not middle
 

burgess1978

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Running total after 3 rounds - Attacking involvement versus defensive involvement (middles only).

1648165150396.png
 

burgess1978

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Worth noting 36/51 mins for McInnes were at edge not middle
Yeah I know - but he was yo-yo'd a bit so I left him in there for the weekly one. I'll remove that game from his running totals as a middle from week 4 onwards.

I also ignored Trindall - even though technically he was a "middle forward" for 9 minutes. I don't think anyone here is hanging on learning what his metres output is going to be this season.

Another impressive effort from Toby. He played 35 straight in the second half. 0 missed tackles in the game.
 
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Sparkles

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Another impressive effort from Toby. He played 35 straight in the second half. 0 missed tackles in the game.
It's been a big turnaround. Good to see him reaching his potential, and no doubt the standard around him has helped him lift
 

burgess1978

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Fancy Stats - totals for round 1-4

McInnes is slowly climbing his way to the top right corner.

1649125685398.png
 

burgess1978

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One more interesting one: tackle efficiency compared from this season to 2021 (*McInnes is 2020).

Except for a small improvement from Rudolf (4%) and also from Brailey (~1.5% - not on graph) nobody has really improved, and some are slightly lower.

Rather than Fitz being a "defensive mastermind" it seems pretty clear that the biggest change defensively is personnel and not improvement from any player(s). i.e. Removing Woods, Williams, Hunt and Talakai from the middle and replacing them with McInnes, Finucane and Fifita.


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burgess1978

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Imagine when McInnes is playing 80 minutes!
I'm not so sure that is even the plan. He could, but there is no need.

Having this little cluster of middle forwards is pretty much perfect deployment; they each played between 39 and 47 minutes last game.

Everyone is heavily involved, while each still having a bit left in the tank for an injury or a run of possession against. Ideal situation.

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Of course the odd man out here with all of this Burgo is Trindall. He's obviously there just in case there is an injury to Hynes or Moylan and play the last 5 or 10 minutes if we're on top and someone needs an early rest. Is this an obvious ploy from Fitz and could it be detrimental to the team in the long run? Do you think it would be more beneficial to have another forward on the bench in place of Trindall?
 

bort

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One more interesting one: tackle efficiency compared from this season to 2021 (*McInnes is 2020).

Except for a small improvement from Rudolf (4%) and also from Brailey (~1.5% - not on graph) nobody has really improved, and some are slightly lower.

Rather than Fitz being a "defensive mastermind" it seems pretty clear that the biggest change defensively is personnel and not improvement from any player(s). i.e. Removing Woods, Williams, Hunt and Talakai from the middle and replacing them with McInnes, Finucane and Fifita.


View attachment 27085
Lifts from the edges Wilton and Nikora probably helps a lot overall too
 
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